GEOFS is a global forecast model developed by the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP), which is part of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) in the United States. The model uses ensemble forecasting techniques to predict the future state of the atmosphere. Ensemble forecasting involves running the forecast model multiple times with slightly different initial conditions to generate a set of forecasts (an ensemble) that can be used to estimate the uncertainty of the forecast.
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